Buffalo Bills vs New York Jets: NFL Predictions, Odds & Best Bets

Monday Night Football is back with a divisional rivalry in New Jersey tonight! The Buffalo Bills travel not too far south to take on the New York Jets and Aaron Rodgers at MetLife Stadium. This will the first meeting between the two division rivals, who are both coming off two straight losses and will look to turn their seasons around.

The Buffalo Bills looked like the team to beat three weeks into the season. They beat the Cardinals and demolished the Dolphins and Jaguars. Then they took a beating themselves, losing to Lamar Jackson and the Ravens 35-10. And last week, they couldn’t muster up a win, losing to the Texans 23-20. They are now 1-2 on the road this year, facing a Jets defense that is hungry to prove their worth.

New York has had their fair share of offensive problems, but the defense is clicking. The Jets are 2-3 this season, losing back to back games to Denver and Minnesota, where they put up a total of just 26 points. They only allowed 33 in those losses, but it was still enough for them to drop two straight. New York does have a home win already, but this one could be huge, given it is against another AFC East opponent.

Can Aaron Rodgers and the Jets pull off a victory tonight? Or will Josh Allen and the Bills prove they run the division?

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Buffalo Bills vs New York Jets: Monday Night Football

Matchup Information – Bills vs Jets

• Venue & Location: MetLife Stadium (East Rutherford, NJ)
• Date: Monday, October 14th, 2024
• Kick Off: 8:15pm Eastern
• Broadcast: ESPN/ABC

Betting Odds

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Spread

• Bills -1 (-115)
• Jets +1 (-105)

Money Line

• Bills -125
• Jets +105

Total

• Over 41.5 (-110)
• Under 41.5 (-110)

Rodgers and Company Host the Bills

Defensively, New York is fine. They rank 6th in opponent’s scoring, 2nd in yards allowed per game, jumping to 1st at home in both of those categories. The problem has been the offense and their lack of production.

The Jets rank 25th, scoring just 18 points per game, and less than 17 at home. They are 27th in yards per game, and 29th in yards per play. It’s tough to slow down the Buffalo Bills, but the Ravens did prove it was possible. Can New York do just that tonight? Personally, I lean heavily with the under, and really want to take it.

The Jets defense is good, and while I expected the Bills to be worse, they aren’t too shabby. Buffalo ranks 11th in scoring defense, and 13th in yards allowed per play. Sure, they are coming off a couple of rough outings, but the Jets offense simply doesn’t compare to that of the Ravens or Texans. They move the ball in bunches much more efficiently, and I am confident that Buffalo’s defense can step up and slow down the aging QB. However, I won’t be backing the under or even a team total under.

Do I think we some points? Yes. Enough to break the over? Eh, too close for me to tell.

New York doesn’t get to the Red Zone very often, but when they do, they score a TD over 70% of the time at home. As for the Bills, they rank Top 10 in Red Zone trips per game, but can’t seem to finish. Therefore, I’ll be backing their kicker tonight.

Buffalo Bills vs New York Jets Best Bets

Bills vs Jets Prediction: Bills Win & Cover, Under 41.5

Best Bet: Tyler Bass Over 1.5 Field Goals Made (-130) BetOnline

Like I said, the Bills are Top 10 in reaching the Red Zone this season. They get there over 3.6 times per contest, and I expect their offense to see some progression tonight. The Bills only score touchdowns on 57% of their trips to the RZ on the road, which would allow for Bass to have at least a couple easy kicks from close range.

He’s 1/1 from beyond 50+ this year, but only 2/4 from 40-49 yards. He’s nearly perfect from inside of 40, missing just one extra point this year, but I trust this guy’s leg to be solid tonight. The Jets do a fantastic job of slowing down their opponent, allowing just 2 trips to the red zone per game, and just 1 at home, ranking 2nd in the NFL. Teams also score touchdowns on less than 42% of red zone trips, meaning the New York defense is prone to get some crucial stops.

I trust them to do this tonight, holding the Bills to 3 points at least twice in this game. Give me Bass to clutch up and knock down his opportunities on ESPN tonight!

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