Detroit Lions vs Houston Texans: NFL Predictions, Odds & Best Bets

The Houston Texans have a tall task at hand this Sunday Night as they host the Detroit Lions on national television. Jared Goff and company head down South to take on the AFC South leaders tonight. Houston is coming off a mini bye week after losing to the Jets in New York last Thursday on Halloween, while the Lions just won a very tough divisional contest in Green Bay.

Detroit looks unstoppable. Besides one bad game against Tampa Bay, they look like the best team in the NFL on both sides of the ball. Even without Aiden Hutchinson, they are seeing success, holding three opponents this season to less than 15 points. Can they keep up this level of play on the road against a potential Super Bowl Contender?

Not to get ahead of myself, but the Texans are a good football team. They have been without WR Nico Collins for several weeks now, but he is off of the IR and primed to return to the field. This will certainly help an offense that is also missing Stephon Diggs, and relying only on Tank Dell to catch passes. Will Houston be able to string some plays together and take down the NFL leading Lions? Or will Detroit continue their dominance down in Texas?

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Detroit Lions vs Houston Texans: SNF in Houston

Matchup Information – Lions vs Texans

• Venue & Location: NRG Stadium (Houston, TX)
• Date: Sunday, November 10th, 2024
• Kick Off: 8:20pm Eastern
• Broadcast: NBC

Betting Odds

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Spread

• Lions -3.5 (-104)
• Texans +3.5 (-116)

Money Line

• Lions -178
• Texans +158

Total

• Over 49 (-110)
• Under 49 (-110)

Can Stroud and Texans Take Down Detroit at Home?

Stroud and company are looking to bounce back tonight at home, but it will be tough to do so against Detroit. Obviously he is missing Stephon Diggs, but with Collins returning, things are looking brighter for Houston. The Texans are undefeated at home this season, but they have lost 2 of their last 3 contests. I think the offense is able to find a groove again at home, after putting up less than 20 points per game over those last few weeks.

I know we talk plenty about this Lions offense, but their defense has been very good as well. They rank 5th in scoring defense, allowing just 18 points per contest and 16 on the road. Tonight I expect the Texans to have to score a decent amount in order to beat Detroit. However, part of me thinks a shootout favors the Lions, as the Texans defense isn’t the best.

They are middle of the pack in points allowed, but drop to 29th in the league in passing yards allowed. Obviously teams play them from behind and are forced to pass to play catch up, but I think this could translate to Stroud having a successful day slinging the pill. While the Lions’ secondary numbers may be a bit inflated, the way to beat them is through the air. Teams have very little success on the ground against Detroit’s front 7 who allow just 100 rushing yards per game.

I do lean with Houston, especially catching the hook at home. I see a field goal separating this teams late in the game, with a heartbroken Lions team flying back to Detroit.

Detroit Lions vs Houston Texans Best Bets

Lions vs Texans Prediction: Houston Wins, Over 49

Best Bet: CJ Stroud Over 33.5 Pass Attempts (-130) Bovada

I see Stroud airing this puppy out tonight. Passing the ball is the way to have success against Detroit, and with Nico Collins back in the lineup, he should see some success.

Stroud has cleared this number in 4/9 games this season, but he’s done so in all 4 matchups at home. In a dome, in front of his home crowd, he is much more comfortable and willing to let it fly. He averages 32.9 pass attempts per game, so we need him to simply throw a couple extra tonight, but he does throw it almost 38 total times at NRG Stadium.

The Texans offensive line isn’t the best when it comes to opening up holes to run. But they protect Stroud well and block down the field. This could open up plenty of check downs for chunk yardage for Mixon and other Houston pass catchers. Ultimately, I see this being a close, high scoring game in which Stroud will be forced to use his arm in order to give the Texans a chance to pull off this upset tonight.

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