Sportsbook Promos
Falcons vs Saints Prediction, Odds, Spread & Best Bets | NFL Week 18: Expect a Low-Scoring NFC South Showdown
Written by: Devon Platana
Last Updated:
Read Time: 6 minutes
nfl
Atlanta Falcons Odds
Spread
Total
Moneyline
-0.5
-115
54
-120o
-115
New Orleans Saints Odds
Spread
Total
Moneyline
+2.5
+100
55
-125u
+120
Boost Your Winnings Now!
Claim 50% Match Up To $1,000
+ $10 Free Cash Bonus
(use promo code BNEWS)
Exclusive BetOnline Offer - Limited Time
See Picks & Statistics For The GameThe NFL Week 18 Falcons vs Saints prediction is brought to you by Bovada. Bovada is a market leader in sports betting, offering various options from the NFL to the NHL and everything in between.
[su_icon icon="icon: star" class="font-weight-bold" background="#fff" color="#FB8500" text_color="#5C6571" size="16" shape_size="4" radius="256" text_size="12" url="/sportsbooks/bovada/" margin="0"] 4/5 Review Rating [/su_icon]
[su_icon icon="icon: check-circle" background="#F4F7FC" color="#2FBB9C" text_color="#1F2933" size="16" shape_size="4" radius="256" text_size="14" url="" margin="0"] Very Fast Payout Times [/su_icon]
[su_icon icon="icon: check-circle" background="#F4F7FC" color="#2FBB9C" text_color="#1F2933" size="16" shape_size="4" radius="256" text_size="14" url="" margin="0"] Sports, Casino, Poker & Racebook [/su_icon]
The NFL Week 18 schedule is loaded with important matchups as the 2023 regular season reaches its end, including Sunday’s showdown between the Atlanta Falcons (7-9) and New Orleans Saints (8-8). After all, a victory for either team here combined with the Tampa Bay Buccaneers losing to the Carolina Panthers would result in an NFC South title win.
Winning hasn’t been easy for the Falcons, who dropped to 1-3 SU in their last four games with Week 17’s 37-17 blowout loss to the Chicago Bears. Meanwhile, the Saints have won three of their last four outings, most recently picking up a 23-13 win against the Buccaneers on the road.
Bovada has these rivals as somewhat longshots to win the division this weekend. The Falcons are available at +650 odds to win the NFC South while the Saints’ chances are slightly better at +350, however, both teams trail the Bucs (-250) by a wide margin.
With Atlanta and New Orleans’ postseason fates resting on this game, we have a can’t-miss matchup on our hands. Let’s explore my Falcons vs Saints prediction and best bets to see how Sunday’s showdown just might unfold.
Falcons vs Saints NFL Week 18 Preview
Falcons vs Saints Matchup Information
- Matchup: Atlanta Falcons (7-9, 2-6 Away) vs. New Orleans Saints (8-8, 4-3 Home)
- Venue & Location: Caesars Superdome (New Orleans, LA)
- Date: Sunday, Jan. 7, 2024
- Game Time: 1 p.m. ET
- Falcons vs. Saints Week 18 TV Channel: CBS
Falcons vs Saints Odds & Spread
Falcons vs. Saints odds are courtesy of Bovada as of Thursday, Jan. 4 at 12:18 p.m. ET. Odds from other sportsbooks may also be mentioned in this article.
Falcons vs Saints Spread
- Atlanta Falcons +3 (+100)
- New Orleans Saints -3 (-120)
Falcons vs Saints Over/Under
- Over 41.5 Points (-115)
- Under 41.5 Points (-105)
Falcons vs Saints Moneyline
- Atlanta Falcons (+155)
- New Orleans Saints (-180)
Updated Falcons vs Saints Odds & Spread
Updated odds as of Sunday, Jan. 7 at 11:38 a.m. ET.
Falcons vs Saints Spread
- Atlanta Falcons +3 (+100)
- New Orleans Saints -3 (-120)
Falcons vs Saints Over/Under
- Over 41.5 Points (-110)
- Under 41.5 Points (-110)
Falcons vs Saints Moneyline
- Atlanta Falcons (+150)
- New Orleans Saints (-175)
NFL Week 18 Betting Stories
- NFL Week 18 Predictions, Schedule, Odds, Spread & Over/Under Picks
- NFL MVP Update: Two Terrific Games Take Jackson to Cusp of Two-Time MVP Status
- Texans vs Colts, Best Bets: January 6th, 2024
- NFL Coach of the Year Odds Heavily Favor Kevin Stefanski
Falcons vs Saints Betting Trends
- Atlanta is 2-12 straight up in its last 14 road games.
- New Orleans is 7-3 straight up in its last 10 home games on a Sunday.
- Atlanta is 1-4-1 ATS in its last six games played in January.
- New Orleans is 1-4 ATS in its last five games vs. Atlanta.
- The total hit the Under in five of Atlanta’s last six road games vs. New Orleans.
- The total hit the Under in seven of New Orleans’ last nine home games.
Falcons vs Saints Prediction & Best Bet: NFL Week 18
One path to the playoff is much easier for one of these teams than it is for the other.
Not only can the Saints win the NFC South with a victory, but they can also make the playoffs with a win combined with the Seattle Seahawks and Green Bay Packers tying or losing their respective games. Unfortunately for the Falcons, their only shot at making is if they win this game and the Buccaneers lose to the NFL-worst Panthers.
Nevertheless, Atlanta already defeated New Orleans once this season, tallying a 24-15 victory over its rival back in Week 12. At the same time, it’s important to note that the game was played at Mercedes-Benz Stadium where the Falcons are 5-3 SU compared to their abysmal 2-6 SU record on the road. The Saints, meanwhile, have won four of seven outings at Caesars Superdome thus far — including the last two by an average margin of 20 points.
New Orleans hasn’t been perfect in its backyard, but it does allow the 11th-fewest points at home, which could be an Atlanta team that only scores 14.0 PPG on the road (3rd-worst).
Another thing working against the Falcons is their lack of success against the Saints.
Since December 2017, New Orleans has been an impressive 9-3 SU across 12 meetings with Atlanta. While you can argue that the Falcons have some momentum from the Week 12 victory, they also haven’t swept a season series against the Saints since the 2016 NFL season.
In fact, the Falcons are 0-3 SU against the Saints following the three previous victories over their divisional rival, losing those games by an average of 9.3 points. There’s a good chance that trend will continue given that Dennis Allen’s team is 4-2 SU in their last six games as the favorite.
Furthermore, New Orleans is also 6-2 SU against teams with sub-.500 records this season.
While upsets are a part of the NFL experience, I don’t see the Saints losing this weekend. They perform well against losing teams and have locked dominant in their recent home outings. Considering how they’ve also owned the Falcons for the last six or seven years, New Orleans will likely prevail while keeping its playoff hopes alive in the process.
With that in mind, don’t expect a high-scoring affair. Not only is the Under a combined 21-11 for these NFC South rivals this season, but it’s also 5-1 in their last six meetings in New Orleans, finishing with 41 or fewer points in three of the last four.
Falcons vs Saints Prediction: NO wins
Best Falcons vs Saints NFL Bet: u41.5 Total Points (-105)
Get 50% up to $750 on this pick over on Bovada
Best Falcons vs Saints Prop — NFL Week 18
I like the Under on Derek Carr to throw 240.5 passing yards as the best Falcons vs. Saints player prop this weekend.
After all, Carr is averaging just 225.9 passing yards per game this season and has finished with the Under on this prop in six of his last eight outings. Additionally, the Falcons allow the eighth-fewest passing yards per game and have held 15 of the 16 previous quarterbacks they faced to 240 or fewer passing yards.
Carr will still come up and make big plays for the Saints on Sunday, but it’s safe to say expectations should be tempered.
Best Falcons vs Saints Prop: Derek Carr u240.5 Passing Yards (-115)
Get 50% up to $750 on this pick over on Bovada
Falcons vs Saints Week 18 FAQ
When is Falcons vs Saints?
- The Falcons and Saints will collide on Sunday, Jan. 7, 2024.
Where is Falcons vs Saints?
- The Falcons and Saints will play each other at Caesars Superdome in New Orleans, LA.
What time does Falcons vs Saints start?
- Kickoff for the upcoming ATL vs. NO matchup is slated for 1 p.m. ET.
How can I watch Falcons vs Saints?
- Falcons and Saints fans can tune in to CBS for Sunday afternoon’s matchup.
How to Bet on Falcons vs Saints
- Most reputable sportsbooks offer Falcons vs. Saints betting markets and future NFL slates.
[su_icon icon="icon: star" class="font-weight-bold" background="#fff" color="#FB8500" text_color="#5C6571" size="16" shape_size="4" radius="256" text_size="12" url="/sportsbooks/betonline/" margin="0"] 5/5 Review Rating [/su_icon]
[su_icon icon="icon: check-circle" background="#F4F7FC" color="#2FBB9C" text_color="#1F2933" size="16" shape_size="4" radius="256" text_size="14" url="/sportsbooks/betonline/" margin="0"] $10 Cash Bonus with code "BNEWS" [/su_icon]
[su_icon icon="icon: check-circle" background="#F4F7FC" color="#2FBB9C" text_color="#1F2933" size="16" shape_size="4" radius="256" text_size="14" url="/sportsbooks/betonline/" margin="0"] Sports, Casino, Poker & Racebook [/su_icon]
[su_icon icon="icon: star" class="font-weight-bold" background="#fff" color="#FB8500" text_color="#5C6571" size="16" shape_size="4" radius="256" text_size="12" url="/sportsbooks/sportsbetting/" margin="0"] 4.4/5 Review Rating [/su_icon]
[su_icon icon="icon: check-circle" background="#F4F7FC" color="#2FBB9C" text_color="#1F2933" size="16" shape_size="4" radius="256" text_size="14" url="/sportsbooks/sportsbetting/" margin="0"] Odds Open Very Early [/su_icon]
[su_icon icon="icon: check-circle" background="#F4F7FC" color="#2FBB9C" text_color="#1F2933" size="16" shape_size="4" radius="256" text_size="14" url="/sportsbooks/sportsbetting/" margin="0"] Sports, Casino, Poker & Racebook [/su_icon]
[su_icon icon="icon: star" class="font-weight-bold" background="#fff" color="#FB8500" text_color="#5C6571" size="16" shape_size="4" radius="256" text_size="12" url="/sportsbooks/bovada/" margin="0"] 4/5 Review Rating [/su_icon]
[su_icon icon="icon: check-circle" background="#F4F7FC" color="#2FBB9C" text_color="#1F2933" size="16" shape_size="4" radius="256" text_size="14" url="/sportsbooks/bovada/" margin="0"] Very Fast Payout Times [/su_icon]
[su_icon icon="icon: check-circle" background="#F4F7FC" color="#2FBB9C" text_color="#1F2933" size="16" shape_size="4" radius="256" text_size="14" url="/sportsbooks/bovada/" margin="0"] Sports, Casino, Poker & Racebook [/su_icon]
[su_icon icon="icon: star" class="font-weight-bold" background="#fff" color="#FB8500" text_color="#5C6571" size="16" shape_size="4" radius="256" text_size="12" url="/sportbet-sportbook-casino-expert-review/" margin="0"] 5/5 Review Rating [/su_icon]
[su_icon icon="icon: check-circle" background="#F4F7FC" color="#2FBB9C" text_color="#1F2933" size="16" shape_size="4" radius="256" text_size="14" url="/sportbet-sportbook-casino-expert-review/" margin="0"] An exclusive VIP program
[/su_icon]
[su_icon icon="icon: check-circle" background="#F4F7FC" color="#2FBB9C" text_color="#1F2933" size="16" shape_size="4" radius="256" text_size="14" url="/sportbet-sportbook-casino-expert-review/" margin="0"] Great use of graphics and user-friendly interface
[/su_icon]
[su_icon icon="icon: check-circle" background="#F4F7FC" color="#2FBB9C" text_color="#1F2933" size="16" shape_size="4" radius="256" text_size="14" url="/sportbet-sportbook-casino-expert-review/" margin="0"] Multiple currencies supported
[/su_icon]
[su_icon icon="icon: star" class="font-weight-bold" background="#fff" color="#FB8500" text_color="#5C6571" size="16" shape_size="4" radius="256" text_size="12" url="/sportsbooks/betwhale/" margin="0"] 4.4/5 Review Rating [/su_icon]
[su_icon icon="icon: check-circle" background="#F4F7FC" color="#2FBB9C" text_color="#1F2933" size="16" shape_size="4" radius="256" text_size="14" url="/sportsbooks/betwhale/" margin="0"] Best Deposit & Free Play Bonuses [/su_icon]
[su_icon icon="icon: check-circle" background="#F4F7FC" color="#2FBB9C" text_color="#1F2933" size="16" shape_size="4" radius="256" text_size="14" url="/sportsbooks/betwhale/" margin="0"] Largest Selection of Sports & Games [/su_icon]
[su_icon icon="icon: star" class="font-weight-bold" background="#fff" color="#FB8500" text_color="#5C6571" size="16" shape_size="4" radius="256" text_size="12" url="/sportsbooks/mybookie/" margin="0"] 4.8/5 Review Rating [/su_icon]
[su_icon icon="icon: check-circle" background="#F4F7FC" color="#2FBB9C" text_color="#1F2933" size="16" shape_size="4" radius="256" text_size="14" url="/sportsbooks/mybookie/" margin="0"] Free $10 Casino Chip with Sign-Up [/su_icon]
[su_icon icon="icon: check-circle" background="#F4F7FC" color="#2FBB9C" text_color="#1F2933" size="16" shape_size="4" radius="256" text_size="14" url="/sportsbooks/mybookie/" margin="0"] Industry-leading Welcome bonus! [/su_icon]
Still Here? NFL Best Bets and Picks
Looking to get in on even more football action? Be sure to check out our NFL picks page for consensus picks for every game on any day of the year.
You can also check out:
Devon is a Master of Journalism graduate who joined the sports betting world in 2020. His favorite leagues to cover are the NHL, NBA and NFL, and has a soft spot for fantasy football specifically. Outside of sports, he enjoys the finer things in life like pasta, live music and getting even more tattoos.
This site contains commercial content. We may be compensated for the links provided on this page. The content on this page is for informational purposes only. Betting News makes no representation or warranty as to the accuracy of the information given or the outcome of any game or event.
More NFL News on Betting News
Free Betting Picks