Miami Dolphins vs Buffalo Bills: NFL Predictions, Odds & Best Bets

The Buffalo Bills host the Miami Dolphins today at Highmark Stadium as their quest for a 5th straight AFC East Title continues. Buffalo got the best of Miami both times last year, and earlier this season already, but can the Dolphins rally for this tough win on the road?

The Dolphins have lost 4 of their last 5 games, but Tua is back under center and things are trending up. Mike McDaniel finally has all his skill players healthy again and can begin to scheme like he was at the beginning of the year. But will it be enough to take down the Bills in Buffalo?

After starting off 3-0, the Bills dropped two straight games on the road. They were blown out by the Ravens in Baltimore and were beat by the Texans in Houston by 3. Now both of those teams are very good, and since then, Buffalo has won 3 straight games again, and are well on their way to another AFC East title.

Can Miami spoil their Sunday and steal a win? Or can the Bills handle business and win at home?

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Miami Dolphins vs Buffalo Bills: AFC East Showdown

Matchup Information – Dolphins vs Bills

• Venue & Location: Highmark Stadium (Orchard Park, NY)
• Date: Sunday, November 3rd, 2024
• Kick Off: 1:00pm Eastern
• Broadcast: CBS

Betting Odds

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Spread

• Dolphins +6 (-110)
• Bills -6 (-110)

Money Line

• Dolphins +230
• Bills -275

Total

• Over 49.5 (-113)
• Under 49.5 (-107)

Will Tua and Dolphins Pull Off Upset?

Miami lost last weekend on a game winning field goal as time expired. The Arizona Cardinals were also able to produce a safety late in the 3rd quarter that ended up coming into play. Tua was back, he threw the ball 38 times, completing 28 passes for 234 yards and TD, but the Dolphins could not squeeze out a victory. Now they have to go into their rivals place, whom they already lost to by 20+ this season, and try to win a ball game.

With Tua still trying to get his bearings, I see this being a tall task. Last week against the Cardinals was the perfect time for him to get his feet underneath him, settle in, and find his groove. That didn’t necessarily happen. Now he has to try and do the same thing against the AFC East divisional leader, and a team that does not show mercy.

I expect the Bills to dominate from start to finish. It took all of me not to lay the points with them, although I will endorse the -6, as I see Buffalo winning by double digits. Last week, Miami did not impress me at all. They were clearly shaking off the rust that had built in Tua’s absence, and they should have another week of trying to figure things out. Ultimately, I have put my coin on a player prop that I believe goes along with our game script.

Miami Dolphins vs Buffalo Bills Best Bets

Dolphins vs Bills Prediction: Bills Win & Cover, Under 49.5

Best Bet: Josh Allen Under 31.5 Passing Attempts (-105) Bovada

I sure hope Josh Allen has an easy day today and doesn’t need to use his arm very often. This is a line Allen has stayed under in 6/8 games this season, ending with exactly 30 attempts twice. Now, he has gone over in his past 2 games, throwing for 33 and 34 attempts the past two weeks. But, against the Dolphins, in a game I expect them to dominate, give me Allen under his attempts.

Against Miami in Week 2, Allen threw less than 20 pass attempts as the Bills cruised to a 31-10 victory. He runs over 5 times a game as well, so he’s prone to tuck it and go with his legs, rather than throw the ball downfield into trouble. I trust Allen’s decision making this year, and overall I expect the Bills to dominate, which will lead to less passing downs, and hopefully a bigger workload for James Cook.

The Bills have proven they can win games without Allen’s arm being overworked, and today I see the same thing happening.

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