NFL Picks for Week 11 (KC-LAC, DAL-MIN & more)

Week 11 is here.

Thanksgiving is right around the corner and we are entering the part of the NFL schedule where the good teams start to rise to the top and the pretenders begin to fade away.

With many great matchups this weekend, I am going to have a look at our aggregated picks for each game and tell you if I am on the same side or if I am going the other direction.

Then, I will give you my Best Bet from each game.

Let’s dive in to Week 11!

You can find all the odds listed for these games at:

BetOnline Sportsbook

Bovada Sportsbook

BetMGM

BetUS

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Atlanta Falcons vs Chicago Bears

Up-to-date Game Info, Odds and Picks

Expert Consensus

Bears +3

My Prediction

Bears +3

I love the Bears in this spot. QB Justin Fields is playing insane football right now, taking the league by storm throwing and running the ball.

I think that continues in Atlanta on Sunday and the Bears have a good chance to possibly win this game outright.

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Cleveland Browns vs Buffalo Bills

Up-to-date Game Info, Odds and Picks

Expert Consensus

Bills -7.5

My Prediction

Bills -7.5

I am aligning with the other experts here again as I don’t see a way the Bills don’t come out and put on a show against the Browns.

This game was moved from Buffalo due to the massive snow storm in upstate New York that has already dumped feet of snow and is expected to dump more in the coming days.

With both teams having to play a road game here, give me the better roster with the better QB coming off of an emotional loss in the best game of the season so far last week against the Vikings.

I love the Bills to bounce back big this week and get the win in Detroit.

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Philadelphia Eagles vs the Indianapolis Colts

Up-to-Date Game Info, Odds, and Picks

Expert Consensus

Colts +7

My Prediction

Eagles -7

I am going against the grain on this one, and siding with the Eagles on the road. I know 7 points is a lot but the Colts are not a good football team.

They scraped out a victory last week against the lowly Raiders in Jeff Saturday’s first game as the Interim Head Coach but this Eagles team is on a different level than the Raiders.

I think the Eagles come out, after their first loss of the season last week on Monday Night Football and put a beat down on the Colts in Indy.

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New York Jets vs New England Patriots

Up-to-Date Game Info, Odds, and Picks

Expert Consensus

Patriots -3.5

My Prediction

Jets +3.5

I am going against the majority here again because I just don’t believe in the Patriots. I know the Patriots destroyed the Jets a couple weeks ago in MetLife but the Jets had a bad day.

I don’t think they come out sluggish in this one and I love the Jets to keep this close with their hard-nose defence and successful running game.

I don’t know if they can pull out the win here but I think they keep it close all game long.

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Los Angeles Rams vs New Orleans Saints

Up-to-Date Game Info, Odds, and Picks

Expert Consensus

Rams +3

My Prediction

Saints -3

I wrote about this game earlier this week and I am sticking with my projection here.

The Rams are battling injuries all over the place, with Matthew Stafford’s status still being up in the air and Cooper Kupp out for the next month on the IR.

This is a tough spot for the Rams on the road in New Orleans and I think the Saints defense wins this one and keeps the Saints post-season hopes alive.

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Detroit Lions vs New York Giants

Up-to-Date Game Info, Odds, and Picks

Expert Consensus

Giants -3

My Prediction

Giants -3

I have bet on the Giants quite a bit this year and I am backing them again today.

The Lions won’t be able to handle Saquon Barkley and this Giants run game. I expect Saquon to have a big day and take advantage of this mediocre Lions run D.

I will be taking Saquon’s yards as well but I will talk about that in my Player Prop article on Saturday so look out for that.

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Carolina Panthers vs Baltimore Ravens

Up-to-Date Game Info, Odds and Picks

Expert Consensus

Panthers +13

My Prediction

Panthers +13

The Panthers have been very hard to cap since the departure of HC Matt Ruhle and RB Christian McCaffrey.

They put up great performances against the Falcons and the Bucs, but got pounded by the Bengals.

I could see the Ravens running the ball a lot in this one, but I don’t see them running away with it and it getting out of hand.

Even though QB Baker Mayfield will get the start this week for PJ Walker because of injury, I think the Panthers will do enough to keep this one within striking distance.

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Washington Commanders vs Houston Texans

Up-to-Date Game Info, Odds, and Picks

Expert Consensus

This is our first 50/50 split

My Prediction

Commanders -3

I love this spot for the Commanders. The Commanders have been hot since QB Taylor Heinicke took over for the injured Carson Wentz.

The Commanders won a huge game against the Eagles on Monday Night Football and I think they ride that momentum into this one against the lowly Texans.

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Las Vegas Radiers vs Denver Broncos

Up-to-Date Game Info, Odds, and Picks

Expert Consensus

Raiders +3

My Prediction

Raiders +3

I wrote about this game earlier this week and how I will not be betting on the Broncos from here on out.

The Raiders aren’t much better but I believe in this Raiders offense way more than I do the Broncos.

I think the Raiders will come out pissed off after losing last week at home against the Colts and they will go into Denver and put it on the Broncos.

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Dallas Cowboys vs Minnesota Vikings

Up-to-Date Game Info, Odds, and Picks

Expert Consensus

Vikings +1.5

My Prediction

Vikings +1.5

The Vikings are coming off one of the best wins in the league so far, beating the Bills in OT last week.

I think they ride that momentum into this game against the Cowboys, especially at home.

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Enjoy Week 11! Follow me on Twitter @SweatpantsJesus and @BN_Content for more props, bets, sports news and overall vibes.

Also, I host a Twitter Spaces every Thursday evening and Sunday morning to go over the slate of games and talk about my best bets! I want to hear your best plays as well and discuss the winning moves!

Join @Sweatpantsjesus for your Sunday morning NFL chat ??https://t.co/M35oEJwAr7

— Betting News (@BN_Content) November 18, 2022

Come hang with me and find the value! Look forward to seeing you there! Thanks for stopping by and as always, Peace and Love.