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Raiders vs. Chargers Prediction & Picks: The Raiders Return to LA
Written by: Varun Sharma
Last Updated:
Read Time: 5 minutes
nfl
October is just two days away, as is Week 4 of the NFL. It feels like the NFL off-season took so long, but now the season’s just flying by.
With 13 games left for each team, including this week; the time for mistakes is over. Both the Chargers and Raiders could just as easily be entering this game at 0-3; both squads winning by less than 5 in their lone wins.
Big divisional matchup in Los Angeles this Sunday, let’s get into our best bets.
With props still coming out, I will be updating this piece between now and Sunday.
Raiders vs. Chargers Game Information
Matchup Information
- Location: SoFi Stadium; Los Angeles, California
- Date: October 1st, 2023
- Time: 4:25 PM EST
Betting Odds
Courtesy of Bovada
Spread
- Raiders +5 (-105)
- Chargers -5 (-115)
Moneyline
- Raiders (+205)
- Chargers (-245)
Total
- Over 48.5 (-110)
- Under 48.5 (-110)
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Raiders vs. Chargers Breakdown & Best Bets
The Raiders enter this game off an embarrassing loss, at home, against the Steelers. Pickett completed just 16 passes but threw 2 TDs and for 235 yards.
On the other side, Jimmy G threw a season high 44 times, for 324 yards and 2 TDs of his own. Though his 3 interceptions proved to be too much for this Raiders team to overcome.
Herbert and the Chargers are coming home after securing their first win of the season in Minnesota. If not for a vintage Kirk Cousins interception from the 6 yard line, the Chargers would still be win-less.
Nonetheless, both teams enter this contest 1-2; hoping to secure an all important divisional win.
Raiders vs. Chargers Best Bets
Keenan Allen o85.5 Rec Yards (-115) via Bovada
Last week we witnessed something not often season in an NFL game anymore; Keenan Allen had 18 receptions on 20 targets; 19 being catchable targets.
Allen has some of the best hands in the game, but thats not news to anyone. He ranks second in catchable targets, 1st in receptions, and third in yards.
Keenan Allen’s playing 92.6% of the snaps, and his connection with Herbert has continued to prove fruitful.
On the defensive side, we see the Raiders secondary, who PFF had ranked 30th before the season started. This secondary has yet to be tested, with their games coming against the Broncos, Steelers, and Bills.
We saw them give up 160+ combined on 13 catches to both Diggs and Gabe Davis. Kenny Pickett only threw the ball 16 times, but Pickens managed to reel the ball in 4 times for 75 yards.
This Raiders defense has given up big plays repeatedly over the last two weeks, and with this Chargers passing attack, Allen should be primed for a big day.
Keenan Allen o85.5 Rec Yards (-115) via Bovada
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Josh Jacobs Anytime Touchdown (-106) via Bovada
Josh Jacobs has not been good this season, averging just 36 yards/game; failing to get in the endzone even once through three weeks.
If you look at his gamelogs, he’s gone up against two very porous run defenses; the Steelers and the Broncos.
Both teams have allowed almost 140+ rush yards/game on the season; but held Jacobs to 62 and 48 rushing yards, respectively. So why are we taking Jacobs?
Because he is so incredibly due for both a big game on the ground, and to get in the endzone.
Last season we saw a similar story with Jacobs. Through the first three weeks, he was averaging 64 YPG, never seeing more than 19 carries; same situation he’s in this year.
Last season, in week 4, Jacobs saw 28 touches, rushed for 144 yards and 2 TDs. In the following two weeks, he saw 20+ touches in both games, scored 3 TDs, and ran for a combined 297 yards (7.2 YPC).
With Jimmy G unlikely to play, this total is still sitting at 49.5, and with as bad as this Chargers defense has been, Jacobs should see a few opportunities to put it in the endzone.
Josh Jacobs Anytime Touchdown (-106) via Bovada
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Keenan Allen ATD + Chargers to Win (+150) via Bovada
With Mike Williams out of the lineup for the season, there’s more targets to go around and with a total of 49.5 for this one; Vegas knows we’re going to see points.
We’ve talked extensively about Keenan Allen, but I like him to get in the endzone too.
Half unit here because it’s a lot of exposure on one player, but Allen and the Chargers should get the job done.
Keenan Allen Anytime TD + Chargers to Win (+150) via Bovada
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