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Saints vs Packers Week 3 Prediction, Odds & Picks: New Orleans’ Ground Game Prevails
Written by: Devon Platana
Last Updated:
Read Time: 5 minutes
nfl
New Orleans Saints Odds
Spread
Total
Moneyline
-13.5
-125
33
-110o
-2000
Green Bay Packers Odds
Spread
Total
Moneyline
+16.5
-110
37
-125u
+1000
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See Picks & Statistics For The GameWeek 3 of the 2023 NFL season is here as another exciting 16-game slate is right around the corner. Sunday’s Saints vs Packers showdown is one of the more intriguing matchups as New Orleans attempts to stay undefeated while Green Bay hopes to avoid a second straight loss.
The Saints head into Week 3 following a hard-fought 20-17 win over the Carolina Panthers that saw RB Tony Jones Jr. rushing for two touchdowns. Meanwhile, the Packers gave up 13 unanswered points in the fourth quarter en route to a 25-24 loss at the hands of the Atlanta Falcons.
Can the Saints keep their momentum going on the road? Or will the Packers taste success in their home opener?
Find out the answer to those questions in this Saints vs. Packers betting preview, featuring the latest NFL odds, a prediction, and the best bets.
Saints vs Packers — NFL Week 3
NO vs GB Game Information
- Matchup: New Orleans Saints (2-0, 1-0 Away) vs. Green Bay Packers (1-1, 0-0 Home)
- Venue & Location: Lambeau Field (Green Bay, WI)
- Date: Sunday, Sept. 24, 2023
- Game Time: 1 p.m. Eastern Time
- Where to Watch Saints vs. Packers Week 3: FOX
Saints vs Packers Week 3 Odds
NFL game odds courtesy of Bovada as of Saturday, Sept. 23 at 9:50 p.m. ET. Odds from other sportsbooks may also be mentioned in this article.
Spread
- New Orleans Saints +1 (-115)
- Green Bay Packers -1 (-110)
Over/Under
- Over 41.5 Points (-115)
- Under 41.5 Points (-105)
Moneyline
- New Orleans Saints +100
- Green Bay Packers -120
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Saints vs Packers Betting Trends
- New Orleans is 4-2 straight up in its last six Week 3 matchups.
- Green Bay is 13-5 straight up in its last 18 home games.
- New Orleans is 5-1 ATS in its last six games against the NFC North.
- Green Bay is 9-2 ATS in its last 11 games played in September.
- The total has hit the Under in each of New Orleans’ last six road games.
- The total has hit the Under in five of Green Bay’s last seven games against the NFC South.
Saints vs Packers Week 3 Preview
Gone are the days when a Saints vs. Packers matchup meant Drew Brees going one-on-one with Aaron Rodgers. Instead, the next chapter of this rivalry sees Derek Carr doing his best to keep New Orleans undefeated as he takes on Green Bay’s Jordan Love.
Carr hasn’t looked too special since joining the Saints. While he’s completed 63.8% of his passes for 533 passing yards, he’s only thrown one touchdown with two interceptions while being sacked eight times — tied for seventh-most through two weeks.
On the other hand, Jordan Love has looked confident as the Packers’ QB1. The former Liberty Flame’s completion rate isn’t great (55.8%), but he does lead the NFL in passing TDs (6), adjusted yards per pass attempt (9.9), and passer rating (118.7).
That’s all without even throwing an interception.
When it comes to the defensive advantage, the Saints have the advantage there. They’re only allowing 160.0 passing yards (No. 7) and 102.0 rushing yards (No. 14) per game, whereas the Packers are allowing 212.0 (No. 17) and 166.5 (No. 30), respectively.
I expect New Orleans to heavily lean on the run again even if Jamaal Williams (hamstring) is sidelined. The Saints just ran the ball 33 times for 134 yards and two TDs against the Panthers, so look for Jones and Taysom Hill to be busy early and often.
It’s also incredibly tough to trust the Packers after their putrid fourth-quarter performance against the Falcons. Not only did Green Bay allow 13 unanswered points, but it also accumulated just seven total yards across four drives in the final frame.
If the blown lead didn’t teach the Packers any lessons, expect the Saints to pounce on any opportunities.
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Saints vs Packers Week 3 Prediction
In what should be a close game, I’m taking the Saints to win. The Packers’ defense has left much to be desired — especially against the run — and I don’t think they can handle New Orleans’ ground presence for four full quarters.
Again, this will be a tight one, but look for the Saints’ run game and defense to give them the edge.
Prediction: Saints 23, Packers 20
Saints vs Packers Week 3 Best Bets
Saints +1 (-115 on Bovada)
The Saints’ defense will help them upset the Packers and cover the 1-point spread in the process. Not only is New Orleans 4-1 ATS in its last five games against Green Bay, but the Saints are also 5-1 ATS in their previous six meetings with NFC North teams.
With the Packers’ defense giving up a ton of opportunities, it’s clear that taking the Saints to cover is the way to go.
Tony Jones Jr. Any Time Touchdown (+175 on Bovada)
Let’s go with Tony Jones Jr. scoring an anytime touchdown as a solid Saints vs. Packers prop bet.
The Saints average 30 rushing attempts per game, meaning Jones will see a ton of usage. He found the end zone twice last week and has a good chance of doing so again after the Packers gave up a whopping 211 yards on the ground and a rushing TD to the Falcons.
With Jamaal Williams sidelined on the IR, Jones is a tremendous pick to find paydirt.
New Orleans vs Green Bay Week 3 FAQ
When is Saints vs Packers?
- The Saints and Packers will collide on Sunday, September 24, 2023.
Where is Saints vs Packers?
- The Saints and Packers will play each other at Lambeau Field in Green Bay, Wisconsin.
What time does Saints vs Packers start?
- Kickoff for the upcoming NO vs. GB matchup is slated for 1 p.m. ET.
How can I watch Saints vs Packers?
- New Orleans and Green Bay fans can tune in to FOX for Sunday’s matchup.
How can I bet on Saints vs Packers?
All of the top online sports betting sites will have NFL odds, but here are some of the sites we recommend most for football enthusiasts.
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Devon is a Master of Journalism graduate who joined the sports betting world in 2020. His favorite leagues to cover are the NHL, NBA and NFL, and has a soft spot for fantasy football specifically. Outside of sports, he enjoys the finer things in life like pasta, live music and getting even more tattoos.
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