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Texans vs Bengals Prediction, Odds, Spread & Picks | NFL Week 10: Stroud vs. Burrow Showdown
Written by: Devon Platana
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Read Time: 6 minutes
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The second half of the 2023 NFL season is here with the arrival of Week 10. The Houston Texans and Cincinnati Bengals collide on Sunday in a can’t-miss matchup as C.J. Stroud looks to further establish himself against one of the best quarterbacks in the game, Joe Burrow.
Stroud stole the headlines last week, throwing for 470 passing yards and five touchdowns in the Texans’ 39-37 win over the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. Meanwhile, the Bengals cruised to their fourth consecutive win with a 24-18 victory over the Buffalo Bills at home.
Even with last week’s win, Houston still sits at +15000 odds to win Super Bowl LVIII (T-No. 20) while Cincinnati sits further ahead at +850 (T-No. 4), per BetOnline’s futures odds.
Without wasting any more time, let’s dive into this betting preview, which features a Texans vs Bengals prediction, the latest NFL Week 10 odds, and the best bets to make come Sunday.
Texans vs Bengals Preview — NFL Week 10
Texans vs Bengals Matchup Information
- Matchup: Houston Texans (4-4, 1-3 Away) vs. Cincinnati Bengals (5-3, 3-1 Home)
- Venue & Location: Paycor Stadium (Cincinnati, OH)
- Date: Sunday, Nov. 12, 2023
- Game Time: 1 p.m. ET
- Texans vs. Bengals Week 10 TV Channel: CBS
Texans vs Bengals Odds & Spread
NFL game odds courtesy of BetOnline as of Wednesday, Nov. 8 at 10:24 a.m. ET. Odds from other sportsbooks may also be mentioned in this article.
Texans vs Bengals Spread
- Houston Texans +7 (-118)
- Cincinnati Bengals -7 (-102)
Texans vs Bengals Over/Under
- Over 48.5 Points (-110)
- Under 48.5 Points (-110)
Texans vs Bengals Moneyline
- Houston Texans +255
- Cincinnati Bengals -305
Updated Texans vs Bengals Odds & Spread
Updated odds as of Sunday, Nov. 12 at 12:46 a.m. ET.
Texans vs Bengals Spread
- Houston Texans +6.5 (-115)
- Cincinnati Bengals -6.5 (-105)
Texans vs Bengals Over/Under
- Over 47 Points (-110)
- Over 47 Points (-110)
Texans vs Bengals Moneyline
- Houston Texans +225
- Cincinnati Bengals -265
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Texans vs Bengals Betting Trends
- Houston is 4-10 straight up in its last 14 road games.
- Cincinnati is 10-1 straight up in its last 11 home games.
- Houston is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 games vs. Cincinnati.
- Cincinnati is 6-0 ATS in its last six games played in November.
- The total has hit the Under in four of Houston’s last five games.
- The total has hit the Under in five of Cincinnati’s last six games vs. Houston.
Texans vs Bengals Prediction & Best Bet: NFL Week 10
Don’t get me wrong: Stroud’s performance was epic last week, but that doesn’t change the fact that the Texans still have a lot of problems.
For starters, the Texans still surrendered 37 points in their victory while allowing the Buccaneers to go 4-for-5 (80.0%) in the red zone. The Bengals are averaging 26.5 PPG during their four-game winning streak while boasting the league’s ninth-best red-zone offense, meaning Houston can’t afford a similar defensive performance.
DeMeco Ryans’ team also hasn’t been that great on the road, where they own a 1-3 record. Outside of their 37-17 road win over the Jacksonville Jaguars in Week 3, the Texans were held to a 13.7 PPG clip in their other three away matchups.
On the flip side, the Bengals are 3-1 at Paycor Stadium this season and 11-1 in their last 12 home games dating back to the 2022 campaign. In fact, Cincinnati has won three straight home outings, holding each of those foes to 18 or fewer points.
I’m also a fan of how Bengals QB Joe Burrow has been playing ever since putting his injuries behind him. The fourth-year gunslinger has been near-perfect in his last two outings, completing 77.6% of passes for 631 yards and five TDs without an interception.
Lucky for Burrow, the Texans allow the second-highest completion rate and ninth-most passing yards this season. Even if Ja’Marr Chase (back) can’t suit up, Burrow still has the likes of Tee Higgins, Tyler Boyd, Joe Mixon, and Trenton Irwin to make magic with.
At the end of the day, I see the Bengals prevailing at home. Burrow is playing well and their defense gives them an edge over a Texans unit that looked like it couldn’t stop a nosebleed last week.
Having said that, I don’t expect a shootout like the 47-point total might imply. After all, the Under is 4-1 in the Texans’ last five games on top of being 3-1 in the Bengals’ four home games thus far.
Furthermore, the Under is 5-1 in the last six Houston-Cincinnati showdowns, averaging just 30.8 points per contest.
Texans vs Bengals Prediction: CIN wins
Bet: u47 Total Points (-110 on BetOnline)
Texans vs Bengals Best Player Prop: NFL Week 10
While he hasn’t been the most consistent player this season, I’m going with a Joe Mixon anytime touchdown as my top Texans vs. Bengals player prop.
Mixon has looked more like his usual self lately, scoring a touchdown in each of his last two outings. He now has the privilege of facing the Texans, who are tied for allowing the ninth-most touchdowns to running backs this season (8).
After Houston allowed Bucs RB Rachaad White to rush for a pair of TDs last week, I have faith in Mixon to have a productive day.
Bet: Joe Mixon At Least 1 Touchdown (-201 on BetOnline)
Texans vs Bengals Week 10 FAQ
When is Texans vs Bengals?
- The Texans and Bengals will collide on Sunday, Nov. 12, 2023.
Where is Texans vs Bengals?
- The Texans and Bengals will play each other at Paycor Stadium in Cincinnati, Ohio.
What time does Texans vs Bengals start?
- Kickoff for the upcoming HOU vs. CIN matchup is slated for 1 p.m. ET.
How can I watch Texans vs Bengals?
- Texans and Bengals fans can tune in to CBS for Sunday’s matchup.
How to Bet on Texans vs Bengals
- Most reputable sportsbooks — including BetDSI — offer Texans vs. Bengals betting markets and the rest of the NFL Week 10 slate.
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Devon is a Master of Journalism graduate who joined the sports betting world in 2020. His favorite leagues to cover are the NHL, NBA and NFL, and has a soft spot for fantasy football specifically. Outside of sports, he enjoys the finer things in life like pasta, live music and getting even more tattoos.
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