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Leafs vs Capitals, Prediction & Best Bets: Toronto Rolls in DC
Written by: Nate Hornung
Last Updated:
Read Time: 4 minutes
nhl
Toronto Maple Leafs Odds
Spread
Total
Moneyline
-1.5
-125
5
+100o
-360
Washington Capitals Odds
Spread
Total
Moneyline
+1.5
-105
5
-130u
+255
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See Picks & Statistics For The GameWe’ve got all 32 NHL Teams in action tonight with a 16 game slate for the Frozen Frenzy but here we will talk about the Leafs and the Capitals as they face off in America’s Capital.
Let’s break this game down and find our best bets for tonight’s contest!
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Leafs vs Capitals Game Information
Game Information
- Venue & Location: Capital One Arena (Washington, D.C.)
- Date: Tuesday, October 24th, 2023
- Puck Drop: 6:00pm Eastern
- Broadcast: ESPN
Bettings Odds
Puckline
- Leafs -1.5 (+145
- Capitals +1.5 (-170)
MoneyLine
- Leafs -175
- Capitals +150
Total
- Over 6.5 (-120)
- Under 6.5 (+100)
NHL Top Picks: Leafs vs Capitals
From what I’m seeing, Joseph Woll is getting the nod in net for the visiting Leafs, while Darcy Kuemper should start for the home team.
Woll has looked incredible this year. In two games, he’s posted a 1-1 record, allowing just 1.69 Goals per game. He’s stopped nearly 95% of shots, and after coming in on the road against Tampa Bay, he shutout the Lightning for most of 2.5 period, stopping all 29 shots.
It’s a small sample size on the road, but this could be a moment where Woll potentially takes over. If he comes to play, which I think he will, I trust the Leafs offense to produce and lead them to victory.
On the road I’m not too prone to take the PL, especially considering the Leafs have only covered it once this year. However with the ML being juiced, I’ll take Toronto to get it done in 60 minutes.
Give me the 60 minute ML, the 3-Way ML, or Leafs in Reg, whatever you want to call it.
The Pick: Leafs in Regulation (-110) Bovada
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NHL Picks Today: Top Player Props
Auston Matthews over 4.5 SOGs (-122) BetOnline
How can you not bet on this dude? He’s been incredible in all 5 games.
Let’s break it down.
Auston Matthews so far this season:
- 5 Games
- 54 Shot Attempts
- 30 Shots on Goal
- 6 Goals (2 Hat Tricks)
It’s ridiculous what this guy is doing, and for -122, I will gladly bet on him to do it again.
Just statistically speaking, Matthews averages 10.8 SA per game. He averages just 3 Shots Missed, and 1.8 Blocked Shots Against per game. Run those numbers, and he’s ripping at least 6 on goal.
Now Washington is a team that gets in the way of the puck, blocking nearly 21 shots per game and ranking 4th in the league while doing so. But they allow so many.
Opponents put up 68 SA against the Caps, putting them 28th in the NHL, and 24th in SOGs allowed, giving up 33 per game. They also allow 3.75 goals/game, ranking 25th, so the defense has plenty of work to do.
Matthews has been ripping the puck, but he hasn’t found the net in 3 games, and has yet to have an assist this season. He has 18 points in 15 career games against Washington, 7 goals and 11 apples, plus 6 multipoint games.
More specifically, on the road against the Capitals, Matthews has just 2 goals, but 8 total points in 7 games. He has 4 multipoint games on the road in Washington, including the past two times he’s played there.
Washington doesn’t spend much time in the box, but they are 29th in PP goals allowed giving up 1.25 per game.
Toronto’s Power Play is nasty, and Matthews to get a PP Point at +155 could be tasty.
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Nate has been a recreational sports bettor for about 5 years. In that time, he has grown to love the pursuit of winners and sticking it to The Man. Nate loves data and uses his understanding of numbers to help him be a more profitable sports gambler, however he will be the first to tell you this game is about more than just stats.
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