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Winnipeg Jets vs Dallas Stars Prediction & Picks (2/29): Battle For The Central Division In Dallas
Written by: Rachel Doerrie
Last Updated:
Read Time: 5 minutes
nhl
Winnipeg Jets Odds
Spread
Total
Moneyline
+1.5
-225
5
-122o
+115
Dallas Stars Odds
Spread
Total
Moneyline
-1.5
+197
6
-115u
-128
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See Picks & Statistics For The GameThe matchup of the night is the battle for the top of the Central Division between the Dallas Stars and Winnipeg Jets in Dallas at 8 pm ET.
Ain't no hold 'em ? pic.twitter.com/rnt6mVAptC
— Winnipeg Jets (@NHLJets) February 29, 2024
Rick Bowness returns to Dallas, where he coached the Stars for 3 years, as Head Coach of the Winnipeg Jets. Both teams are tied at the top of the division with 79 points, but the Jets have four games in hand. Two of the best defensive teams in the league, who are considered Stanley Cup Contenders will battle it out. Dallas has won both games this season in Winnipeg, and both games went under the game total.
The Jets have started to regain their offensive prowess, scoring 3+ goals in 6 of their last 10 games. Kyle Connor has 5 goals in his last 5 games, while Josh Morrissey has 11 points in his last 5 games. The Stars acquired Chris Tanev from Calgary on Wednesday, but the defensive stalwart will not be in the lineup for Dallas until his visa is sorted. The top right-handed defenceman on the market was acquired for less than the believed asking price and with the addition of young Logan Stankoven, the Stars are shaping up to be a formidable threat down the stretch.
Jets vs Stars NHL Betting Tonight (2/29)
Jets vs Stars Matchup Information
Matchup: Dallas Stars (35-17-9, 17-8-3 Home) vs. Winnipeg Jets (37-15-5, 16-8-3 Away)
Venue & Location: American Airlines Center (Dallas, TX)
Date: Thursday, Feb. 29, 2024
Game Time: 8 p.m. Eastern Time
How to Watch Jets vs Stars: TSN
Jets vs Stars NHL Betting Odds
Jets vs Stars odds are courtesy of BetOnline as of Thursday Feb. 29 at 3:35 p.m. ET. Odds from other top online sportsbooks may also be mentioned in this article.
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Jets vs Stars Puck Line
Winnipeg Jets +1.5 (-220)
Dallas Stars -1.5 (+190)
Jets vs Stars Over/Under
Over 6 Goals (+101)
Under 6 Goals (-117)
Jets vs Stars Moneyline
Winnipeg Jets (+140)
Dallas Stars (-155)
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Jets vs Stars Betting Trends
Winnipeg has scored 3+ goals in 6 of their last 10 games, but has not score 3 against Dallas this season.
Winnipeg has won 7 of their last 8, while Dallas has lost 5 of their last 6.
The Total hit UNDER 6.5 in 7 of last 10 Jets games and 8 of last 10 Stars games, with the teams scoring 5 and 2 goals in their earlier meetings this season.
Kyle Connor has goals in 4 straight games and Josh Morrissey has 2+ assists in 4 straight.
Jets vs Stars Prediction & Pick (2/29): Can the Stars halt the Jets offence to keep pace in the Central Division Race?
Jets vs Stars Prediction: Goalies shine in Defensive Battle Between Cup Contenders
The Stars are struggling to find consistency of late and continue to be without Tyler Seguin. Jason Robertson and Matt Duchene lead the way for Dallas and will be looking to break out of respective cold streaks against the Jets. The same can’t be said for Kyle Connor and Josh Morrissey who have been red hot for the Jets. The Stars will need to rely on their top defensive pairing of Thomas Harley and Miro Heiskanen to shut them down.
Both teams play in plenty of one goal games. With two excellent goaltenders in tonight’s matchup, both are a good bet to go over their saves total. Hellebuyck has made 32+ saves in four consecutive starts and kept teams to two goals or less in 3 of his last 5 starts. Oettinger has given up 3 or more goals in 4 of his last 5 starts but has played well against the Jets historically.
Player Props to Watch in Jets vs Stars (2/29)
Kyle Connor Over 2.5 Shots (-150) BOVADA
Connor has been red hot for the Jets of late, scoring 5 goals in his last 4 games. He’s a streaky goal scorer and when he’s scoring, the Jets feed him the puck. In a pivotal division game, look for the Jets to rely on Connor to get puck on goal. The model projects him for 3.46 shots tonight and gives him a 71% chance to clear his listed line.
Josh Morrissey 1+ Assist (+105) BOVADA
Morrisey has 2+ assists in 4 straight games. He’s partially benefitting from Connor’s hot streak, but he’s no slouch. He distributes the puck well, creates passing lanes for teammates and is dangerous in transition. If the Jets are going to score tonight, expect Morrissey to find the scoresheet. Given that he’s not a shooter, the assists has better value and is the more likely option.
Miro Heiskanen 1+ Point (-115) BOVADA
Heiskanen has 4 points in his last 5 games. He’s one of the best defencemen in the league and sees top powerplay minutes, consistently. He distributes the puck efficiently and gets pucks through to create scoring chances at the net front. Despite Dallas’ struggles of late, Heiskanen has remained a catalyst from the backend. The model has him projected of 0.74 points, and given Dallas’ offence is running through him, he’s a good candidate to find the scoresheet.
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Rachel Doerrie, also known as Nemo, is a good ol’ Canadian, raised in Toronto, the hockey mecca of the world. Her speciality is building models using various nerd math and makes her picks based on the outputs. She’s worked in the NHL and now builds models for NHL, NBA, NFL and MLB. When she’s not nerding out, she’s recording the Staff and Graph Podcast. You can follow her regular socials or the betting instagram @nemobets!
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