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PSG vs Borussia Dortmund UEFA Champions League Semifinal, 2nd Leg Best Bets: Take the Under in France
Written by: Nate Hornung
Last Updated:
Read Time: 3 minutes
soccer
Borussia Dortmund Odds
Spread
Total
Moneyline
+1.5
-147
3
+118o
+500
Paris Saint-Germain Odds
Spread
Total
Moneyline
-1.0
-140
3
-110u
0
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See Picks & Statistics For The GameWe have the 2nd leg of this UEFA Champions League Semifinal tonight as Paris Saint-Germain hosts Borussia Dortmund to determine who will reach the Title Match. PSG lost to Dortmund in the 1st leg and find themselves down 1-0 on aggregate score.
These teams have now met three times this season in UCL play. PSG won the opening match in group stage 2-0 at home, then drew with Dortmund in Germany 1-1 to close out Group Stage. Now they face off in the semifinals, and Dortmund won a hard fought match at home in the 1st leg. They jumped out to a 1-0 lead 36 minutes into the match and never looked back.
Now, they travel to Paris with a 1-0 lead, looking to go back to the UCL final match, a game they have not appeared in since the 2012-2013 season, where they lost to fellow Bundesliga foe, Bayern Munich.
Can Dortmund hold on to their lead and clinch their spot in the Title match? Or will PSG and their explosive offense come alive and steal the Title spot at home?
Can Dortmund Hold On to Lead Away from Home?
Matchup Information: PSG vs Dortmund
- Venue & Location: Parc des Princes (Paris, France)
- Date: Tuesday, May 7th, 2024
- Kick Off: 3:00pm Eastern
UCL Betting Odds
Odds via BetOnline, an industry leader in the sports betting market. Sign up today for a deposit bonus and the most competitive lines on the market!
Money Line
- PSG -200
- Draw +400
- Dortmund +495
To Advance to the UCL Title Match
- PSG -155
- Dortmund +130
Total
- Over 3.5 (-109)
- Under 3.5 (-111)
PSG vs Borussia Dortmund Best Bets
It doesn’t take a rocket scientist to understand that all three matches between these squads have gone well under the number they are hanging us today. In France, PSG won 2-nil, before going to Dortmund and playing to a 1-1 draw. Then, as the stakes were raised, defense really came to play, and Dortmund won at home 1-0.
Three games between these teams, both posting a 1-1-1 record in those contests, and it all comes down to this.
PSG is -200 on the ML this game, they are -155 to advance, even though they find themselves down 1-0 on aggregate. The total is high, and based on those lines, I think Vegas is expecting a shootout. A hypothetical 2-1 PSG victory after 90 minutes would send the game in to extra time and potentially PKs, while a 3-0 victory would seal the deal early. With the total sitting at 3.5, and the juice on each team total, there is a chance we could see a 3-1 PSG win.
Their TT is over 2.5 at +125, while Dortmund’s TT is Over 1.5 at +190. I think a 2-1 PSG victory with extra time is the most likely scenario in this match, and therefore I will bet on the under 3.5.
Best Bets: PSG/Dortmund Under 3.5 (-111) BetOnline
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Nate has been a recreational sports bettor for about 5 years. In that time, he has grown to love the pursuit of winners and sticking it to The Man. Nate loves data and uses his understanding of numbers to help him be a more profitable sports gambler, however he will be the first to tell you this game is about more than just stats.
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