UEFA Champions League: AC Milan vs PSG, Prediction: PSG Wins at Home

The UEFA Champions League is back in action with some more Group Stage play. We will be breaking down one fo the games from Group F, as it features four top tier teams.

Today let’s discuss AC Milan taking on PSG in France.

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AC Milan vs PSG Game Information

Matchup Information

• Venue & Location: Parc des Princes (Paris, France)
• Date: Wednesday, October 25th, 2023
• Kick Off: 3:00pm Eastern

Betting Odds

Odds Courtesy of Bovada.

Spread

• AC Milan +1 (-138)
• PSG -1 (+114)

Moneyline

• AC Milan +380
• Draw +310
• PSG -150

Total

• Over 2.5 (-134)
• Under 2.5 (+112)

Champions League Best Bets: AC Milan vs PSG

Can PSG bounce back after losing to Newcastle?

PSG is coming off a 4-1 loss at Newcastle in their 2nd match of Group Stage. Back at home tonight, they should be in solid form where they are 3-0 in their last 3 games at home in all competitions. They are outscoring opponents 9-0 in that stretch.

PSG has won both Ligue 1 games since their loss to Newcastle, and the whole team looks on board and ready to go.

From the Italian side, AC Milan is coming off a 1-0 home loss to Juventus. Now, Milan is unbeaten in their L3 on the road, winning 2 and drawing once, however they did lose 5-1 to Inter Milan on the road prior to Champions League play.

They’ve turned it around since, but against a motivated powerhouse like PSG, I don’t think Milan will be able to compete.

AC Milan has drawn twice in UCL play, but they arguably should have won at home against Newcastle as they outshot the Magpies 25-6, and 9-1 on Target.

I’ve got a two team parlay that I’ll be playing for plus money in this game.

The Pick: PSG ML/Under 3.5 (+142) Bovada

AC Milan has not allowed or scored a goal in 2 Group Stage games

Defense Wins Championships

Now, if you’d like to take under 3 for an even spicier payout, feel free. Bovada just was not offering me that exact line for a parlay.

I’m feeling a low scoring PSG win. I’ll guess 2-0, but for the parlay I’ll take the extra cushion with under 3.5.

AC Milan has played to two scoreless draws in UEFA Champions League play. PSG held Dortmund scoreless at home, eventually winning 2-0, but then let up 4 goals in a loss at Newcastle.

Their defense has allowed just 1 goal since that beat down, and they have a 3-0 shutout at home. PSG is highly motivated to win this group, and at home they will look to dominate both sides of the ball.

To be quite honest, on the road, I think Milan will be satisfied with one point and play like it. They should be very defensive, limited the PSG attack, but also sacrificing some chances of their own in the process.

Give me PSG to finally break through and score the go ahead goal early in the 2H, later netting one to solidify the win on a counter attack in the 86th minute.

Mic drop.

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