Jessica Pegula vs Karolina Muchova US Open Semifinal Prediction & Picks

After years of trying, Jessica Pegula has broken through and reached her first Grand Slam singles semifinal. Can she go at least one step further and reach her first Grand Slam singles final? She will enter tonight’s US Open semifinal contest with Karolina Muchova (8:30 pm ET, ESPN) as the favorite.

Entering last night’s matchup with world number one Iga Swiatek, Pegula was 0 for 6 in Grand Slam singles quarterfinals. But she put that history behind her with an outstanding performance against the top seed, needing only 89 minutes to see off Swiatek in a 6-2, 6-4 victory.

She doesn’t have much time to celebrate the biggest moment of her singles career, as the #6 seed in the draw will take on Muchova fewer than 24 hours after the final point of her win over Swiatek.

While this is Pegula’s first Grand Slam singles semifinal, Muchova is making her fourth such appearance and her second straight at the US Open.

Quite a lot has happened since she lost to Coco Gauff at this stage of last year’s tournament. Due to a wrist injury and subsequent surgery, that 6-4, 7-5 loss to Gauff on September 7 of last year was her last match until June of this year, and this is just her sixth tournament since her return.

Will she play spoiler against a certain crowd favorite and reach her second Grand Slam singles final? Or will Pegula’s moment continue into a matchup for all the marbles against fellow American Emma Navarro or tournament favorite Aryna Sabalenka?

Jessica Pegula vs Karolina Muchova Odds

Odds to Win the Match

• Jessica Pegula -155
• Karolina Muchova +135

Games Spread

• Jessica Pegula -2.5 (-105)
• Karolina Muchova +2.5 (-115)

Total Match Games

• Over 22.5 Games (+100)
• Under 22.5 Games (-120)

See more odds for this match and other US Open odds at BetOnline. Check out our BetOnline review to learn more about them.

2024 US Open Results for Jessica Pegula

• First Round: defeated Shelby Rogers 6-4, 6-3
• Second Round: defeated Sofia Kenin 7-6 (7-4), 6-3
• Third Round: defeated Jessica Bouzas Maneiro 6-3, 6-3
• Round of 16: defeated #18 Diana Shnaider 6-4, 6-2
• Quarterfinals: defeated #1 Iga Swiatek 6-2, 6-4

2024 US Open Results for Karolina Muchova

• First Round: defeated Katie Volynets 6-3, 7-5
• Second Round: defeated Naomi Osaka 6-3, 7-6 (7-5)
• Third Round: defeated Anastasia Potapova 6-4, 6-2
• Round of 16: defeated #5 Jasmine Paolini 6-3, 6-3
• Quarterfinals: defeated #22 Beatriz Haddad Maia 6-1, 6-4

Jessica Pegula vs Karolina Muchova Head-to-Head Results (Pegula 1-0)

• 8/16/2024 (2024 Cincinnati Open – hard): Pegula 5-7, 6-4, 6-2

Pegula vs Muchova Betting Analysis

Pegula is the favorite, but the margin indicates how little there is between the two players.

When they met at the Cincinnati Open a few weeks ago, Muchova took the first set, but an inability to hold her serve in the second set—she was broken in her last three games of the set—saw the match go the distance, and she ran out of steam in the third set.

While a lot of the focus will be on how impressive Pegula has been in the tournament, the same can be said for Muchova.

She needed only 69 minutes to eliminate Paolini in the fourth round and 83 minutes to take out Haddad Maia, and she has been able to reach this stage for the second straight year despite battling illness.

That caused a brief delay in last night’s win over the #22 seed, but it clearly didn’t affect her game at all. Therefore, it shouldn’t be a concern for tonight’s match, especially considering what she has dealt with since she was last here.

Pegula vs Muchova Prediction & Picks

Muchova’s illness, as well as this being only her 18^th match since her nine-and-a-half-month layoff, may give some bettors pause.

However, she has been every bit as good as Pegula has in this tournament, and it will not be an upset in the slightest if she comes away with the victory. After all, she was a top-ten player when she was injured and appeared destined to rise even higher. Now that her wrist woes are behind her, she is displaying that level again, and Pegula will have to bring her best tonight to win.

Their previous encounter went the distance, and there’s a good chance that this one will as well. If it is wrapped up in straight sets, expect two very competitive sets.

But who will come out on top and move on to face Navarro or Sabalenka on Saturday? There are compelling reasons to back either side here, but Pegula gets the nod. It was reasonable to question if she could rise to the occasion against Swiatek, but the manner in which she did so is a sign that this may indeed be her major moment.

Pegula vs Muchova Prediction: Pegula to win

Pegula vs Muchova Picks: 1) Pegula -2.5 games, 2) Pegula/Muchova over 22.5 games

Other Tennis Betting Information

Where to Bet on the US Open

The odds mentioned in this article came from BetOnline, but they are far from the only place out there offering odds for the US Open or other tennis tournaments. At the top sports betting sites, you can always find odds for the major tennis tournaments.

In addition to BetOnline, here are some other online sportsbooks where you can find ATP Finals odds, Australian Open odds, French Open odds, US Open odds, Wimbledon odds, and odds for other notable tournaments:

• BetDSI (review)
• BetUS (review)
• Bookmaker (review)
• Bovada (review)
• MyBookie (review)
• Sportsbetting.ag (review)

There are a number of reputable online sportsbooks that are good for betting on tennis, but we have reviewed all of the above books and highly recommend them all.

If you don’t have an account at any of the sites mentioned, check out our reviews to learn more about what they have to offer.

Want to Learn More About Tennis Betting?

If you are looking to learn more about how to bet on tennis, where to bet on tennis, this year’s most important tennis tournaments, and the top men’s and women’s singles tennis players, check out our handy tennis betting guide.