Iga Swiatek vs Jessica Pegula US Open QF Prediction & Picks: Seventh Heaven for Pegula?

One American woman is already in the US Open singles semifinals, but will she be joined by a second? Tonight, #6 seed Jessica Pegula will look to finally reach her first Grand Slam singles semifinal as she takes on #1 seed and 2022 US Open champion Iga Swiatek (7:00 pm ET, ESPN).

Yesterday, #13 seed Emma Navarro booked a ticket to her first Grand Slam semifinal with a 6-2, 7-5 win over Paula Badosa. The 23-year-old will face #2 seed Aryna Sabalenka in one of tomorrow’s women’s singles semifinals.

Who will face the winner of this afternoon’s quarterfinal matchup between #22 seed Beatriz Haddad Maia and Karolina Muchova?

Swiatek is a firm favorite, and since having a tough time with Kamilla Rakhimova in the first round, she has breezed past her last three opponents.

Like Swiatek, Pegula has not dropped a set thus far in the US Open. But will her current form translate into a semifinal breakthrough at the seventh attempt?

Iga Swiatek vs Jessica Pegula Odds

Odds to Win the Match

• Iga Swiatek -350
• Jessica Pegula +280

Games Spread

• Iga Swiatek -4.5 (-115)
• Jessica Pegula +4.5 (-105)

Total Match Games

• Over 20.5 Games (-115)
• Under 20.5 Games (-105)

See more odds for this match and other US Open odds at BetOnline. Check out our BetOnline review to learn more about them.

2024 US Open Results for Iga Swiatek

• First Round: defeated Kamilla Rakhimova 6-4, 7-6 (8-6)
• Second Round: defeated Ena Shibahara 6-0, 6-1
• Third Round: defeated #25 Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova 6-4, 6-2
• Round of 16: defeated #16 Liudmila Samsonova 6-4, 6-1

2024 US Open Results for Jessica Pegula

• First Round: defeated Shelby Rogers 6-4, 6-3
• Second Round: defeated Sofia Kenin 7-6 (7-4), 6-3
• Third Round: defeated Jessica Bouzas Maneiro 6-3, 6-3
• Round of 16: defeated Diana Shnaider 6-4, 6-2

Iga Swiatek vs Jessica Pegula Head-to-Head Results (Swiatek 6-3 Pegula)

Last Five Matches

• 11/6/2023 (2023 WTA Finals – hard): Swiatek 6-1, 6-0
• 8/12/2023 (2023 Canadian Open – hard): Pegula 6-2, 6-7 (4-7), 6-4
• 2/18/2023 (2023 Qatar Open – hard): Swiatek 6-3, 6-0
• 1/5/2023 (2023 United Cup – hard): Pegula 6-2, 6-2
• 10/15/2022 (2022 San Diego Open – hard): Swiatek 4-6, 6-2, 6-2

Swiatek vs Pegula Betting Analysis

After failing to defend her US Open title last year, Swiatek is three wins away from being crowned the queen in Queens for the second time in three seasons.

When she had trouble dispatching Rakhimova, who was ranked 104^th entering the US Open, it looked like she could be poised for an early exit.

But such matches can serve as a wake-up call, and it appears that was the case for Swiatek, who has lost only a dozen games in her last three matches after losing ten in her tournament opener.

Now, she goes up against a familiar opponent in Pegula. Of their nine previous meetings, eight have come on hard courts, with Swiatek holding a 5-3 advantage in those matches. That includes a matchup at this stage of the US Open two years ago, a 6-3, 7-6 (7-4) win for the eventual champion.

Should we expect a similar result tonight, or will Pegula have her long-awaited moment?

The timing perhaps couldn’t be better for Pegula, who is in sizzling form currently. After winning the Canadian Open and reaching the final of the Cincinnati Open, Pegula has kept it going at the US Open. Notably, she has broken her opposition at least twice in seven of the eight sets she has played.

Swiatek vs Pegula Prediction & Picks

As well as Pegula is playing right now, her history is a big concern.

While she has been a fixture in the top ten over the last few years, she has not been able to translate that into Grand Slam success. Six times, she has lost at this stage, and she has won a set only twice in Grand Slam singles quarterfinals.

Given her present form, this may well be Pegula’s best opportunity to finally break through and reach her first Grand Slam singles semifinal or even go all the way, but in the end, it’s hard to look past her history.

Clay may be Swiatek’s favorite surface, but she is formidable on hard courts as well and will show that once again tonight. It won’t be an easy win for her, but she will see off Pegula to set up a semifinal showdown with Haddad Maia or Muchova.

Swiatek vs Pegula Prediction: Swiatek to win in straight sets

Swiatek vs Pegula Picks: 1) Iga Swiatek -4.5 games & Swiatek/Pegula under 20.5 games

Other Tennis Betting Information

Where to Bet on the US Open

The odds mentioned in this article came from BetOnline, but they are far from the only place out there offering odds for the US Open or other tennis tournaments. At the top sports betting sites, you can always find odds for the major tennis tournaments.

In addition to BetOnline, here are some other online sportsbooks where you can find ATP Finals odds, Australian Open odds, French Open odds, US Open odds, Wimbledon odds, and odds for other notable tournaments:

• BetDSI (review)
• BetUS (review)
• Bookmaker (review)
• Bovada (review)
• MyBookie (review)
• Sportsbetting.ag (review)

There are a number of reputable online sportsbooks that are good for betting on tennis, but we have reviewed all of the above books and highly recommend them all.

If you don’t have an account at any of the sites mentioned, check out our reviews to learn more about what they have to offer.

Want to Learn More About Tennis Betting?

If you are looking to learn more about how to bet on tennis, where to bet on tennis, this year’s most important tennis tournaments, and the top men’s and women’s singles tennis players, check out our handy tennis betting guide.